The food and biodiversity crises are and will continue to be
the biggest problems facing the world for the next 100 years at least. Currently, of the 7 billion humans on the
planet roughly 1 billion live in food poverty, malnourished. At the same time, over the past 100 years the
greatest cause of extinctions has been the conversion of natural habitats for
human uses, the most important human use being agriculture. Our current system of food production and
distribution has the potential to be greatly improved without large damages to
biodiversity however, with the population predicted to rise to around 9 billion
by 2050 and as individuals across the world demand a higher quality diet
consisting of more meat, improvements to the current system will be insufficient
to prevent more damage to the world’s biodiversity. The question which scientists should help
answer is ‘how to produce a set yield at the lowest possible cost to
biodiversity?’.
A consideration of the current situation reveals that there
is potential for the relief of food poverty without damage to
biodiversity. Food is not equally distributed
throughout the world and, whilst 1 billion people live in food poverty, another
billion suffer from obesity. It is
therefore clear that a more fair or ‘equitable’ distribution of the food
produced by the world could help alleviate food poverty. Secondly, much of the food we produce we do
not eat. I am not only talking about
food waste through supermarket discard or food lost due to lack of infrastructure
in developing countries (e.g. food which expires before consumption due to lack
of good storage and distribution infrastructure). I also refer to food crops which are fed to
animals for the production of meat for example, 7 kilograms of grain are required
to produce 1 kilogram of beef. As a
result, 7 times more land is needed to produce the grain to feed people on meat
than on grain directly. Analogously, any
potential food crops, or land which could be used to grow food crops, which are
used for biofuels instead of human consumption should be expected to result in
increased land conversion as land elsewhere is converted to fill the gap of
foregone food production. Therefore, if
the whole world ate a vegetarian diet and if food equity was greatly increased
then it would be possible to feed the current population without further land
conversion.
The food demand of the planet is the product of the world
population and the per capita (or individual) food demand. Unfortunately both of these are set to rise
as the world population approaches 9 billion and Eastern countries approach a
Western, meat rich diet. As a result
conservationists are left to inform policy makers how this increasing world
demand can be met at least harm to biodiversity. Recently this has given rise to a debate
which highlights interesting aspects of our attitude towards science. The debate revolves around the following
question: is it better to farm at a lower intensity, producing less food per
hectare but maintaining more biodiversity on-farm and using more land or is it
better to farm at a higher intensity, preserving less on-farm biodiversity but
using less land (therefore sparing more ‘pristine’ habitat)? If I were to ask you whether it would be best
to farm less land intensively or more land in a wildlife friendly way to
produce the same yield then what would you say?
There can only be one correct answer: I need more information. The answer to this question depends on how
much biodiversity survives on wildlife friendly farms and how the yield differs
between these farms. So far, work in Ghana
and India has supported the idea that farming some land intensively and sparing
other natural land is best. Many people,
including scientists, have objected to this finding for many reasons, none of
which are, in my opinion, good reasons.
People look at a monoculture of coffee and cannot believe that this is
better for biodiversity than coffee grown organically amongst native trees
which are preserved. This is precisely
where science excels, to show not what ‘feels’ right but what is right. So far, as I have stated, the answer appears
to be land sparing.
Considering how to use the agricultural tools available (see
above) is one issue. Another is deciding
which agricultural tools to use. More
specifically, should GM crops be used
After attending a debate regarding the future of GM crops I was
surprised by the reaction of many members of the audience, it was one of fear,
fear that GM crops will turn out to be a dangerous mistake. I believe it is the role of conservation
scientists (I include agricultural geneticists in this category) to explain, in
a way in which the general public are happy with, why, in their scientific
opinion, GM crops are safe.
In conclusion, feeding the world and saving all species will
be incompatible. Conservation scientists
have the important role of conducting good quality research addressing the relevant
problems such that policy makers can make better informed decisions
For a brief review of the land sparing and wildlife friendly
farming debate see http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2011/sep/02/farming-biodiversity-conservation-nature-reserves.
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